What A Vindication of Ruto, Uhuru might Mean for Raila.

The ICC MIGHT VINDICATE UHURU AND RUTO AFTER ALL.
Kenyans have of late been treated to some new form of drama. A new soap opera cast far away in the Hague. The cast features notable members of Kenya’s political elite and her bureaucracy such as; Mr. Uhuru Kenyatta, Minister for Finance, Mr. William Ruto, immediate Minister for Higher Education, Mr Henry Kosgey, Minister of Industrialization, short Joshua Sang a broadcaster, Mr. Francis Muthaura, the Secretary to the cabinet and Mr. Hussein Ali former Commissioner of police and the current post master general.
The above are charged with among others; crimes against humanity or quite simply playing a somewhat visible role in the post-election violence of 2008. Whereas the political pundits provide cryptic matrices of the effects of the confirmation or the lack of thereof of the charges in the ICC, the situation is simpler than the pundits would want us to believe. It is not a labyrinth.
Here are the facts, of the six facing trials only two of them; Uhuru and Ruto can change the political dynamics in Kenya. Therefore the only possible situations are;
• (A) charges for Uhuru and Ruto are confirmed,
• (B) charges for Ruto and Uhuru are not confirmed
• (C) charges for Uhuru are confirmed
• (D) Charges for Ruto are confirmed
• (E) charges for Uhuru are not confirmed
• (F) charges for Ruto are not confirmed
I am not quite well endowed in legal scholarship so I will ignore altogether the legal technicalities involved. I will therefore dwell on a disaggregated situation where either one or both of the two will walk away without the confirmation of charges. Namely B, E, and F.

So what will the legal vindication of either one of Uhuru and Ruto or both mean for Kenya?
To begin with it is preposterous to think that the non-confirmation of charges will go a long way in changing the attitudes of Kenyans with regards to apportioning guilt on what happened in the post-election violence of the year 2008. The victims of the PEV from whichever side of the political divide in Kenya have a very clear mind about who was responsible for their fate.
That the Hague trials were politically emasculated is well known fact. Political pundits will tell you that the trials were intricately politically balanced to avoid the odious shame of parading Principle Raila to The Hague.
Though the International Justice System may fail to find the aforementioned Ruto and Uhuru with considerable blemish, Kenyans may not be two forgiving. However if the ICC fails to confirm the charges to Uhuru and Ruto, their morals will be vindicated. The moral battle between them and the Raila Odinga will be half won. The moral balance as to who has stands on the moral high ground and thus can lead Kenya, which in itself has been skewed in Raila’s favour may rebalance to portray the ICCs ruling.